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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0McNeese St. · #99 · Slnd · 0–0Mon, Feb 15 · 7:30 PM ETTownsley Law Arena · Lake Charles, LA
Model line
McNeese St. −19.0
Win probability
McNeese St. 98%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
McNeese St. home
2%Win probability98%

The model makes McNeese St. a 19.0-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northwestern St. offense vs McNeese St. defense

Northwestern St. OStatMcNeese St. D
65.2#329Tempo#27966.4
48.6#301eFG%#7749.3
18.3#288TOV%#124.5
26.1#320ORB%#33834.9
40.1#58FT rate#32542.1
9.6#200Block%#415.9
50.7#225Assist%#30157.2
48.0#3102P%#8249.5
33.2#2173P%#10032.7
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#1546.8

McNeese St. offense vs Northwestern St. defense

McNeese St. OStatNorthwestern St. D
66.4#279Tempo#32965.2
50.7#201eFG%#26953.0
14.2#28TOV%#16116.9
35.1#46ORB%#28532.6
37.4#119FT rate#22236.3
6.7#13Block%#3226.7
49.0#264Assist%#16851.9
52.3#1552P%#23452.9
31.7#2963P%#28235.5
74.4#107FT%—
35.2#2713PA rate#24037.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53

McNeese St.

Thu, Mar 19NVanderbilt21L 68–78
Wed, Mar 11NStephen F. Austin139W 76–59
Tue, Mar 10NUT Rio Grande Valley251W 84–80
Mon, Mar 2ANicholls St.287W 75–65
Sat, Feb 28ALSU N OrleansW 66–63