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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

McNeese St. · #99 · Slnd · 0–0Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Dec 19 · 4:30 PM ETPrather Coliseum · Natchitoches, LA
Model line
McNeese St. −7.6
Win probability
McNeese St. 79%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Northwestern St. home
79%Win probability21%

The model makes McNeese St. a 7.6-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

McNeese St. offense vs Northwestern St. defense

McNeese St. OStatNorthwestern St. D
66.4#279Tempo#32965.2
50.7#201eFG%#26953.0
14.2#28TOV%#16116.9
35.1#46ORB%#28532.6
37.4#119FT rate#22236.3
6.7#13Block%#3226.7
49.0#264Assist%#16851.9
52.3#1552P%#23452.9
31.7#2963P%#28235.5
74.4#107FT%—
35.2#2713PA rate#24037.9

Northwestern St. offense vs McNeese St. defense

Northwestern St. OStatMcNeese St. D
65.2#329Tempo#27966.4
48.6#301eFG%#7749.3
18.3#288TOV%#124.5
26.1#320ORB%#33834.9
40.1#58FT rate#32542.1
9.6#200Block%#415.9
50.7#225Assist%#30157.2
48.0#3102P%#8249.5
33.2#2173P%#10032.7
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#1546.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

McNeese St.

Thu, Mar 19NVanderbilt21L 68–78
Wed, Mar 11NStephen F. Austin139W 76–59
Tue, Mar 10NUT Rio Grande Valley251W 84–80
Mon, Mar 2ANicholls St.287W 75–65
Sat, Feb 28ALSU N OrleansW 66–63

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53