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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UT Rio Grande Valley · #251 · Slnd · 0–0Lamar · #250 · Slnd · 0–0Mon, Feb 15 · 7:00 PM ETMontagne Center · Beaumont, TX
Model line
Lamar −7.4
Win probability
Lamar 78%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Lamar home
22%Win probability78%

The model makes Lamar a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Lamar defense

UT Rio Grande Valley OStatLamar D
66.5#275Tempo#30565.8
54.8#49eFG%#15150.9
18.5#300TOV%#13017.3
28.2#259ORB%#12829.4
28.9#332FT rate#34744.4
10.2#258Block%#3112.7
59.9#36Assist%#30857.7
54.5#772P%#8949.7
36.8#353P%#26435.3
76.3#45FT%—
43.7#993PA rate#24937.5

Lamar offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense

Lamar OStatUT Rio Grande Valley D
65.8#305Tempo#27566.5
47.8#317eFG%#3947.8
18.1#279TOV%#20416.3
35.7#34ORB%#26632.1
27.9#343FT rate#28338.9
8.5#101Block%#2757.8
55.4#105Assist%#32158.1
47.0#3322P%#6949.2
32.9#2363P%#1930.4
70.7#249FT%—
33.9#2973PA rate#22638.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UT Rio Grande Valley

Tue, Mar 10NMcNeese St.99L 80–84
Mon, Mar 9NNicholls St.287W 86–68
Mon, Mar 2HNorthwestern St.296W 74–62
Sat, Feb 28HTexas A&M Commerce323W 63–55
Mon, Feb 23AMcNeese St.99L 68–75

Lamar

Mon, Mar 2AHouston Christian253L 53–75
Sat, Feb 28AIncarnate Word302L 60–72
Mon, Feb 23HNicholls St.287L 52–53
Sat, Feb 21HLSU N OrleansL 71–77
Mon, Feb 16AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 65–70