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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Lamar · #250 · Slnd · 0–0Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0Mon, Feb 8 · 7:30 PM ETPrather Coliseum · Natchitoches, LA
Model line
Northwestern St. −3.4
Win probability
Northwestern St. 64%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Northwestern St. home
36%Win probability64%

The model makes Northwestern St. a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Lamar offense vs Northwestern St. defense

Lamar OStatNorthwestern St. D
65.8#305Tempo#32965.2
47.8#317eFG%#26953.0
18.1#279TOV%#16116.9
35.7#34ORB%#28532.6
27.9#343FT rate#22236.3
8.5#101Block%#3226.7
55.4#105Assist%#16851.9
47.0#3322P%#23452.9
32.9#2363P%#28235.5
70.7#249FT%—
33.9#2973PA rate#24037.9

Northwestern St. offense vs Lamar defense

Northwestern St. OStatLamar D
65.2#329Tempo#30565.8
48.6#301eFG%#15150.9
18.3#288TOV%#13017.3
26.1#320ORB%#12829.4
40.1#58FT rate#34744.4
9.6#200Block%#3112.7
50.7#225Assist%#30857.7
48.0#3102P%#8949.7
33.2#2173P%#26435.3
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#24937.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Lamar

Mon, Mar 2AHouston Christian253L 53–75
Sat, Feb 28AIncarnate Word302L 60–72
Mon, Feb 23HNicholls St.287L 52–53
Sat, Feb 21HLSU N OrleansL 71–77
Mon, Feb 16AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 65–70

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53