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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0Lamar · #250 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+Montagne Center · Beaumont, TX
Model line
Lamar −9.3
Win probability
Lamar 84%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Lamar home
16%Win probability84%

The model makes Lamar a 9.3-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northwestern St. offense vs Lamar defense

Northwestern St. OStatLamar D
65.2#329Tempo#30565.8
48.6#301eFG%#15150.9
18.3#288TOV%#13017.3
26.1#320ORB%#12829.4
40.1#58FT rate#34744.4
9.6#200Block%#3112.7
50.7#225Assist%#30857.7
48.0#3102P%#8949.7
33.2#2173P%#26435.3
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#24937.5

Lamar offense vs Northwestern St. defense

Lamar OStatNorthwestern St. D
65.8#305Tempo#32965.2
47.8#317eFG%#26953.0
18.1#279TOV%#16116.9
35.7#34ORB%#28532.6
27.9#343FT rate#22236.3
8.5#101Block%#3226.7
55.4#105Assist%#16851.9
47.0#3322P%#23452.9
32.9#2363P%#28235.5
70.7#249FT%—
33.9#2973PA rate#24037.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53

Lamar

Mon, Mar 2AHouston Christian253L 53–75
Sat, Feb 28AIncarnate Word302L 60–72
Mon, Feb 23HNicholls St.287L 52–53
Sat, Feb 21HLSU N OrleansL 71–77
Mon, Feb 16AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 65–70