Model line
Stephen F. Austin −17.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Stephen F. Austin 96%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Stephen F. Austin home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Stephen F. Austin a 17.0-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Stephen F. Austin defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Stephen F. Austin D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #28866.2 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #3747.7 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #11817.6 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #13429.5 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #8631.1 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #13910.0 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #5647.5 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #6549.0 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #1630.3 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #30535.5 |
Stephen F. Austin offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Stephen F. Austin O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#288 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 51.7#166 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 14.3#35 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 33.8#74 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 30.1#308 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 10.1#249 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 48.5#277 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 50.4#247 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 35.8#71 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 68.6#308 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#177 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
Stephen F. Austin
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Tulsa104 | L 84–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | McNeese St.99 | L 59–76 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | W 60–58 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Incarnate Word302 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston Christian253 | W 77–56 |
