Model line
Lamar −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Lamar 85%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Lamar home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Lamar a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Lamar defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Lamar D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #30565.8 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #15150.9 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #13017.3 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #12829.4 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #34744.4 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #3112.7 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #30857.7 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #8949.7 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #26435.3 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #24937.5 |
Lamar offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Lamar O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#305 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 47.8#317 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 18.1#279 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 35.7#34 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 27.9#343 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 8.5#101 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 55.4#105 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 47.0#332 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 32.9#236 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 70.7#249 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#297 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
Lamar
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Houston Christian253 | L 53–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Incarnate Word302 | L 60–72 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Nicholls St.287 | L 52–53 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 71–77 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 65–70 |
