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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

McNeese St. · #99 · Slnd · 0–0Incarnate Word · #302 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Feb 6 · 5:00 PM ETMcDermott Center · San Antonio, TX
Model line
McNeese St. −7.0
Win probability
McNeese St. 77%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Incarnate Word home
77%Win probability23%

The model makes McNeese St. a 7.0-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

McNeese St. offense vs Incarnate Word defense

McNeese St. OStatIncarnate Word D
66.4#279Tempo#32065.4
50.7#201eFG%#31554.5
14.2#28TOV%#23515.7
35.1#46ORB%#25632.0
37.4#119FT rate#31841.6
6.7#13Block%#3097.0
49.0#264Assist%#16651.8
52.3#1552P%#32556.0
31.7#2963P%#21034.4
74.4#107FT%—
35.2#2713PA rate#30735.4

Incarnate Word offense vs McNeese St. defense

Incarnate Word OStatMcNeese St. D
65.4#320Tempo#27966.4
50.2#227eFG%#7749.3
17.2#215TOV%#124.5
32.1#121ORB%#33834.9
34.0#207FT rate#32542.1
9.8#222Block%#415.9
44.2#345Assist%#30157.2
47.7#3172P%#8249.5
36.1#543P%#10032.7
71.2#231FT%—
39.1#1883PA rate#1546.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

McNeese St.

Thu, Mar 19NVanderbilt21L 68–78
Wed, Mar 11NStephen F. Austin139W 76–59
Tue, Mar 10NUT Rio Grande Valley251W 84–80
Mon, Mar 2ANicholls St.287W 75–65
Sat, Feb 28ALSU N OrleansW 66–63

Incarnate Word

Mon, Mar 2HStephen F. Austin139L 68–76
Sat, Feb 28HLamar250W 72–60
Mon, Feb 23ANorthwestern St.296L 49–54
Sat, Feb 21ATexas A&M Commerce323W 82–73
Mon, Feb 16HLSU N OrleansL 64–78