Model line
UT Rio Grande Valley −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UT Rio Grande Valley 78%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
UT Rio Grande Valley home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes UT Rio Grande Valley a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | UT Rio Grande Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.2#57 | Tempo | — |
| 50.0#125 | eFG% | — |
| 28.3#229 | TOV% | — |
| 11.5#239 | ORB% | — |
| 27.5#170 | FT rate | — |
| 18.8#220 | Block% | — |
| 54.5#120 | Assist% | — |
| 46.9#167 | 2P% | — |
| 36.8#77 | 3P% | — |
| 64.3#152 | FT% | — |
| 37.3#163 | 3PA rate | — |
UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| UT Rio Grande Valley O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tempo | #5774.2 |
| — | eFG% | #15153.1 |
| — | TOV% | #21912.1 |
| — | ORB% | #19239.5 |
| — | FT rate | #17744.6 |
| — | Block% | #725.0 |
| — | Assist% | #10351.7 |
| — | 2P% | #10750.0 |
| — | 3P% | #17737.9 |
| — | FT% | — |
| — | 3PA rate | #8244.6 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Oklahoma St.49 | L 60–91 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin133 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar223 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.298 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce267 | W 82–73 |
UT Rio Grande Valley
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | TAMU-Kingsvlle | W 81–51 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | McNeese St.94 | L 80–84 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Nicholls St.261 | W 86–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Northwestern St.298 | W 74–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Texas A&M Commerce267 | W 63–55 |
