Model line
Incarnate Word −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Incarnate Word 68%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Incarnate Word home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Incarnate Word a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| UT Rio Grande Valley O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#275 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 54.8#49 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 18.5#300 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 28.2#259 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 28.9#332 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 10.2#258 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 59.9#36 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 54.5#77 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 36.8#35 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 76.3#45 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#99 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Incarnate Word offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | UT Rio Grande Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #27566.5 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #3947.8 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #20416.3 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #26632.1 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #28338.9 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #2757.8 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #32158.1 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #6949.2 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #1930.4 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #22638.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UT Rio Grande Valley
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | McNeese St.99 | L 80–84 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Nicholls St.287 | W 86–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Northwestern St.296 | W 74–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 63–55 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | McNeese St.99 | L 68–75 |
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
