Model line
Incarnate Word −6.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Incarnate Word 75%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Incarnate Word home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Incarnate Word a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nicholls St. offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Nicholls St. O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#188 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 50.6#209 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 17.4#229 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 28.1#262 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 34.5#197 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 9.9#231 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 52.1#190 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 51.2#206 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 33.3#211 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 66.2#351 | FT% | — |
| 43.9#92 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Incarnate Word offense vs Nicholls St. defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Nicholls St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #18868.3 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #31254.4 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #1620.5 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #31333.7 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #25937.9 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #2498.2 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #28856.2 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #32756.0 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #22534.6 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #21238.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nicholls St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | N American | W 110–56 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 68–86 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northwestern St.296 | W 61–47 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | McNeese St.99 | L 65–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 68–60 |
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
