Model line
Northwestern St. −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern St. 68%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Northwestern St. home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Northwestern St. a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston Christian offense vs Northwestern St. defense
| Houston Christian O | Stat | Northwestern St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#347 | Tempo | #32965.2 |
| 49.7#249 | eFG% | #26953.0 |
| 18.9#316 | TOV% | #16116.9 |
| 29.9#205 | ORB% | #28532.6 |
| 36.0#150 | FT rate | #22236.3 |
| 9.9#229 | Block% | #3226.7 |
| 58.7#46 | Assist% | #16851.9 |
| 50.9#216 | 2P% | #23452.9 |
| 31.7#291 | 3P% | #28235.5 |
| 69.4#287 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#238 | 3PA rate | #24037.9 |
Northwestern St. offense vs Houston Christian defense
| Northwestern St. O | Stat | Houston Christian D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#329 | Tempo | #34764.4 |
| 48.6#301 | eFG% | #30354.2 |
| 18.3#288 | TOV% | #11717.6 |
| 26.1#320 | ORB% | #28332.5 |
| 40.1#58 | FT rate | #8030.7 |
| 9.6#200 | Block% | #10710.6 |
| 50.7#225 | Assist% | #22053.8 |
| 48.0#310 | 2P% | #31355.3 |
| 33.2#217 | 3P% | #24435.0 |
| 74.0#136 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#299 | 3PA rate | #25437.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston Christian
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | LSU N Orleans | L 60–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Lamar250 | W 75–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 56–77 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 69–68 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 53–71 |
Northwestern St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Nicholls St.287 | L 47–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 62–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 59–71 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Incarnate Word302 | W 54–49 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Houston Christian253 | W 71–53 |
