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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Incarnate Word · #302 · Slnd · 0–0Houston Christian · #253 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Jan 2 · 4:30 PM ETSharp Gymnasium · Houston, TX
Model line
Houston Christian −10.6
Win probability
Houston Christian 87%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Houston Christian home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes Houston Christian a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Incarnate Word offense vs Houston Christian defense

Incarnate Word OStatHouston Christian D
65.4#320Tempo#34764.4
50.2#227eFG%#30354.2
17.2#215TOV%#11717.6
32.1#121ORB%#28332.5
34.0#207FT rate#8030.7
9.8#222Block%#10710.6
44.2#345Assist%#22053.8
47.7#3172P%#31355.3
36.1#543P%#24435.0
71.2#231FT%—
39.1#1883PA rate#25437.4

Houston Christian offense vs Incarnate Word defense

Houston Christian OStatIncarnate Word D
64.4#347Tempo#32065.4
49.7#249eFG%#31554.5
18.9#316TOV%#23515.7
29.9#205ORB%#25632.0
36.0#150FT rate#31841.6
9.9#229Block%#3097.0
58.7#46Assist%#16651.8
50.9#2162P%#32556.0
31.7#2913P%#21034.4
69.4#287FT%—
36.5#2383PA rate#30735.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Incarnate Word

Mon, Mar 2HStephen F. Austin139L 68–76
Sat, Feb 28HLamar250W 72–60
Mon, Feb 23ANorthwestern St.296L 49–54
Sat, Feb 21ATexas A&M Commerce323W 82–73
Mon, Feb 16HLSU N OrleansL 64–78

Houston Christian

Sun, Mar 8NLSU N OrleansL 60–73
Mon, Mar 2HLamar250W 75–53
Sat, Feb 28HStephen F. Austin139L 56–77
Mon, Feb 23ATexas A&M Commerce323W 69–68
Sat, Feb 21ANorthwestern St.296L 53–71