Model line
Lafayette −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Lafayette 73%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Lafayette home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Lafayette a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bucknell offense vs Lafayette defense
| Bucknell O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#248 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 48.5#302 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 19.0#320 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 27.0#294 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 29.8#315 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 11.5#326 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 54.0#138 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 50.4#243 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 30.6#329 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 76.8#36 | FT% | — |
| 42.7#122 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Lafayette offense vs Bucknell defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Bucknell D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #24866.9 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #32054.7 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #10217.9 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #21431.3 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #18635.3 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #3455.9 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #35261.8 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #28054.1 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #34437.0 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #2445.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bucknell
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Navy290 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Army346 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lehigh265 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Army346 | W 75–73 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 63–72 |
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
