Model line
American −1.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
American 55%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Bucknell home
55%Win probability45%
The model makes American a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
American offense vs Bucknell defense
| American O | Stat | Bucknell D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#254 | Tempo | #24866.9 |
| 51.5#170 | eFG% | #32054.7 |
| 15.6#109 | TOV% | #10217.9 |
| 26.9#299 | ORB% | #21431.3 |
| 28.7#334 | FT rate | #18635.3 |
| 10.0#234 | Block% | #3455.9 |
| 49.5#254 | Assist% | #35261.8 |
| 53.3#113 | 2P% | #28054.1 |
| 33.0#226 | 3P% | #34437.0 |
| 75.8#54 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#37 | 3PA rate | #2445.7 |
Bucknell offense vs American defense
| Bucknell O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#248 | Tempo | #25466.7 |
| 48.5#302 | eFG% | #31054.4 |
| 19.0#320 | TOV% | #4019.2 |
| 27.0#294 | ORB% | #12629.4 |
| 29.8#315 | FT rate | #32342.1 |
| 11.5#326 | Block% | #3624.4 |
| 54.0#138 | Assist% | #21653.7 |
| 50.4#243 | 2P% | #31155.1 |
| 30.6#329 | 3P% | #27735.5 |
| 76.8#36 | FT% | — |
| 42.7#122 | 3PA rate | #25837.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
American
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University309 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University309 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh265 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette332 | W 75–61 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Bucknell335 | W 75–57 |
Bucknell
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Navy290 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Army346 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lehigh265 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Army346 | W 75–73 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 63–72 |
