Model line
American −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
American 88%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
American home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes American a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lafayette offense vs American defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 77.9#16 | Tempo | #6973.5 |
| 40.3#213 | eFG% | #9247.8 |
| 20.5#161 | TOV% | #12617.7 |
| 24.4#185 | ORB% | #20441.0 |
| 17.9#220 | FT rate | #6426.1 |
| 14.0#182 | Block% | #1169.5 |
| 32.0#229 | Assist% | #20869.0 |
| 48.8#142 | 2P% | #10350.0 |
| 16.7#231 | 3P% | #9729.6 |
| 50.0#228 | FT% | — |
| 35.8#179 | 3PA rate | #14339.1 |
American offense vs Lafayette defense
| American O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.5#69 | Tempo | #1677.9 |
| 34.3#230 | eFG% | #20159.7 |
| 24.5#205 | TOV% | #2825.7 |
| 22.0#209 | ORB% | #23250.0 |
| 37.0#113 | FT rate | #6125.4 |
| 16.0#202 | Block% | #1338.7 |
| 46.7#171 | Assist% | #23981.3 |
| 32.0#234 | 2P% | #22969.6 |
| 24.1#189 | 3P% | #15936.4 |
| 80.0#37 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#30 | 3PA rate | #265.7 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lafayette
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Butler81 | L 60–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross337 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army336 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate230 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American218 | L 61–75 |
American
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Cincinnati25 | L 53–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University299 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University299 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh288 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette351 | W 75–61 |
