Model line
UNLV −26.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNLV >99%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
UNLV home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes UNLV a 26.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota offense vs UNLV defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #6870.7 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #23252.3 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #22331.4 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #35045.1 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #3312.7 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #28756.1 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #19752.0 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #26135.2 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #28036.3 |
UNLV offense vs North Dakota defense
| UNLV O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#68 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 53.6#83 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 17.3#225 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 30.7#175 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 41.2#44 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 8.0#61 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 51.6#203 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 53.7#96 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 35.6#87 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 68.0#327 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#246 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine109 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.56 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming117 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.73 | L 86–89 |
