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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UNLV · #89 · MWC · 0–0San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 4:30 PM ETViejas Arena · San Diego, CA
Model line
San Diego St. −9.6
Win probability
San Diego St. 84%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
San Diego St. home
16%Win probability84%

The model makes San Diego St. a 9.6-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UNLV offense vs San Diego St. defense

UNLV OStatSan Diego St. D
70.7#68Tempo#13669.2
53.6#83eFG%#4248.2
17.3#225TOV%#1920.3
30.7#175ORB%#20931.1
41.2#44FT rate#27438.5
8.0#61Block%#815.3
51.6#203Assist%#32358.2
53.7#962P%#1846.2
35.6#873P%#16233.6
68.0#327FT%—
36.1#2463PA rate#1247.3

San Diego St. offense vs UNLV defense

San Diego St. OStatUNLV D
69.2#136Tempo#6870.7
52.7#117eFG%#23252.3
17.2#220TOV%#13217.3
29.5#220ORB%#22331.4
39.0#81FT rate#35045.1
6.2#4Block%#3312.7
54.4#130Assist%#28756.1
53.2#1222P%#19752.0
34.5#1503P%#26135.2
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#28036.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UNLV

Sun, Mar 22ATulsa104L 66–77
Tue, Mar 17AUC Irvine109W 75–72
Thu, Mar 12NUtah St.56L 60–80
Wed, Mar 11NWyoming117W 73–70
Fri, Mar 6ASan Diego St.73L 86–89

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86