Model line
UNLV −24.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNLV >99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
UNLV home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes UNLV a 24.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs UNLV defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #6870.7 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #23252.3 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #22331.4 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #35045.1 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #3312.7 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #28756.1 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #19752.0 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #26135.2 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #28036.3 |
UNLV offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| UNLV O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#68 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 53.6#83 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 17.3#225 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 30.7#175 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 41.2#44 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 8.0#61 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 51.6#203 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 53.7#96 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 35.6#87 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 68.0#327 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#246 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine109 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.56 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming117 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.73 | L 86–89 |
