Model line
UNLV −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNLV 64%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
64%Win probability36%
The model makes UNLV a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNLV offense vs UC Davis defense
| UNLV O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tempo | #3675.8 |
| — | eFG% | #19759.2 |
| — | TOV% | #3425.1 |
| — | ORB% | #3622.2 |
| — | FT rate | #21657.1 |
| — | Block% | #2420.0 |
| — | Assist% | #2737.5 |
| — | 2P% | #18060.9 |
| — | 3P% | #18338.5 |
| — | FT% | — |
| — | 3PA rate | #3353.1 |
UC Davis offense vs UNLV defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.8#36 | Tempo | — |
| 47.4#154 | eFG% | — |
| 19.8#156 | TOV% | — |
| 26.3#168 | ORB% | — |
| 52.6#37 | FT rate | — |
| 9.4#124 | Block% | — |
| 52.2#136 | Assist% | — |
| 46.9#168 | 2P% | — |
| 32.0#120 | 3P% | — |
| 70.0#117 | FT% | — |
| 43.9#93 | 3PA rate | — |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa102 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine114 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.45 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming119 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.79 | L 86–89 |
UC Davis
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | North Alabama286 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton201 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara105 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine114 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.246 | W 76–70 |
