Model line
New Mexico −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 87%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes New Mexico a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNLV offense vs New Mexico defense
| UNLV O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#68 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 53.6#83 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 17.3#225 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 30.7#175 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 41.2#44 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 8.0#61 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 51.6#203 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 53.7#96 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 35.6#87 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 68.0#327 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#246 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs UNLV defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #6870.7 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #23252.3 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #22331.4 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #35045.1 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #3312.7 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #28756.1 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #19752.0 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #26135.2 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #28036.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine109 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.56 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming117 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.73 | L 86–89 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
