Model line
New Mexico −20.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 98%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes New Mexico a 20.2-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Davis offense vs New Mexico defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs UC Davis defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
