Model line
New Mexico −17.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 97%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
4%Win probability97%
The model makes New Mexico a 17.2-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico St. offense vs New Mexico defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
