Model line
New Mexico −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 68%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes New Mexico a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah St. offense vs New Mexico defense
| Utah St. O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#191 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 56.6#16 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 15.3#92 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 33.2#87 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 39.5#70 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 9.6#204 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 60.0#32 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 59.8#9 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 34.6#145 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 71.0#240 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#161 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Utah St. defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Utah St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #19168.3 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #9149.8 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #1820.4 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #26032.0 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #27038.3 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #2338.5 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #10849.8 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #5248.5 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #21534.4 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #12641.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah St.
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Arizona5 | L 66–78 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Villanova47 | W 86–76 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | San Diego St.73 | W 73–62 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Nevada77 | W 79–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UNLV89 | W 80–60 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
