Model line
New Mexico −37.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico >99%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes New Mexico a 37.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs New Mexico defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
