Model line
New Mexico −22.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 99%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes New Mexico a 22.5-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs New Mexico defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Little Rock defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
