Model line
New Mexico −27.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico >99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes New Mexico a 27.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs New Mexico defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
