Model line
UNLV −21.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNLV 99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
UNLV home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes UNLV a 21.6-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Air Force offense vs UNLV defense
| Air Force O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #6870.7 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #23252.3 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #22331.4 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #35045.1 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #3312.7 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #28756.1 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #19752.0 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #26135.2 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #28036.3 |
UNLV offense vs Air Force defense
| UNLV O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#68 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 53.6#83 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 17.3#225 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 30.7#175 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 41.2#44 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 8.0#61 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 51.6#203 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 53.7#96 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 35.6#87 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 68.0#327 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#246 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine109 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.56 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming117 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.73 | L 86–89 |
