Model line
Air Force −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 59%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Air Force home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Air Force a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Davis offense vs Air Force defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs UC Davis defense
| Air Force O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
