Model line
New Mexico −27.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico >99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes New Mexico a 27.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Air Force offense vs New Mexico defense
| Air Force O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Air Force defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
