Model line
Siena −13.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Siena 92%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Siena home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Siena a 13.0-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rider offense vs Siena defense
| Rider O | Stat | Siena D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #35164.2 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #4948.5 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #15617.0 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #13329.5 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #2827.5 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #1969.1 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #7548.3 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #5148.5 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #8232.3 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #18639.4 |
Siena offense vs Rider defense
| Siena O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#351 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 50.4#221 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 15.8#125 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 31.8#132 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 33.4#226 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 9.5#189 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 53.2#160 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 52.5#147 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 30.6#332 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 77.1#32 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#327 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
Siena
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Duke1 | L 65–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Merrimack211 | W 64–54 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Fairfield231 | W 76–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mount St. Mary's299 | W 63–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rider355 | W 76–61 |
