Model line
Niagara −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 61%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Niagara home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Niagara a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Quinnipiac offense vs Niagara defense
| Quinnipiac O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.8#99 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 48.2#310 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 15.9#133 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 34.1#64 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 33.8#219 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 11.2#316 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 49.4#256 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 46.7#335 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 34.0#173 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 69.1#297 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#306 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Quinnipiac defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Quinnipiac D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #9969.8 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #6548.9 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #12617.4 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #25832.0 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #7630.6 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #6411.6 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #18352.5 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #3047.1 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #24134.9 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #30835.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Quinnipiac
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Marist257 | L 75–77 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Canisius339 | W 67–63 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Niagara318 | L 76–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Fairfield231 | L 79–85 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Merrimack211 | L 49–56 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
