Model line
Niagara −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 66%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Niagara home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Niagara a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Siena offense vs Niagara defense
| Siena O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#351 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 50.4#221 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 15.8#125 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 31.8#132 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 33.4#226 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 9.5#189 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 53.2#160 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 52.5#147 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 30.6#332 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 77.1#32 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#327 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Siena defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Siena D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #35164.2 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #4948.5 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #15617.0 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #13329.5 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #2827.5 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #1969.1 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #7548.3 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #5148.5 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #8232.3 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #18639.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Siena
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Duke1 | L 65–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Merrimack211 | W 64–54 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Fairfield231 | W 76–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mount St. Mary's299 | W 63–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rider355 | W 76–61 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
