Model line
Niagara −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 73%
Projected tempo
68.0
possessions
Site
Niagara home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Niagara a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Peter's offense vs Niagara defense
| Saint Peter's O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#317 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 46.4#347 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 17.7#254 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 37.0#17 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 35.5#165 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 10.0#241 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 53.2#159 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 46.2#346 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 31.0#321 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 73.6#149 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#197 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Saint Peter's defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Saint Peter's D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #31765.5 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #4048.1 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #2320.0 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #33234.7 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #35446.4 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #7411.3 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #20553.1 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #4348.0 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #6832.1 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #30435.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Peter's
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Fairfield231 | L 55–74 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Marist257 | W 63–56 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Manhattan331 | W 75–65 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Siena271 | L 63–72 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Iona222 | L 64–72 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
