Model line
Niagara −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 85%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
Niagara home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Niagara a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rider offense vs Niagara defense
| Rider O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Rider defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
