Model line
Lafayette −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Lafayette 69%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Lafayette home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Lafayette a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Niagara offense vs Lafayette defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Lafayette offense vs Niagara defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
