Model line
Niagara −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 85%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Niagara home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Niagara a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morgan St. offense vs Niagara defense
| Morgan St. O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#66 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 45.8#351 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 17.8#261 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 30.7#173 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 42.7#23 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 10.4#268 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 52.2#189 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 44.9#355 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 31.7#297 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 74.3#113 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#272 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Morgan St. defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Morgan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #6670.7 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #19651.7 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #18716.5 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #34335.2 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #36350.9 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #2298.5 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #29256.4 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #26253.7 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #4831.5 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #35531.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morgan St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Delaware St.361 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Coppin St.362 | W 70–66 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Norfolk St.297 | W 90–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Howard164 | L 59–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | South Carolina St.356 | W 90–83 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
