Model line
Merrimack −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Merrimack 85%
Projected tempo
67.9
possessions
Site
Merrimack home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Merrimack a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Peter's offense vs Merrimack defense
| Saint Peter's O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#317 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 46.4#347 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 17.7#254 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 37.0#17 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 35.5#165 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 10.0#241 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 53.2#159 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 46.2#346 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 31.0#321 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 73.6#149 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#197 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Merrimack offense vs Saint Peter's defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Saint Peter's D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #31765.5 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #4048.1 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #2320.0 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #33234.7 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #35446.4 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #7411.3 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #20553.1 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #4348.0 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #6832.1 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #30435.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Peter's
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Fairfield231 | L 55–74 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Marist257 | W 63–56 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Manhattan331 | W 75–65 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Siena271 | L 63–72 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Iona222 | L 64–72 |
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
