Model line
Hofstra −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Hofstra 86%
Projected tempo
67.9
possessions
Site
Hofstra home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Hofstra a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Merrimack offense vs Hofstra defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Hofstra D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #31965.4 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #1646.3 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #29414.9 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #20231.0 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #17935.1 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #11810.4 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #25455.0 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #744.7 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #7532.3 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #12241.1 |
Hofstra offense vs Merrimack defense
| Hofstra O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#319 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 51.4#177 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 16.1#144 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 34.7#55 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 31.6#266 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 10.7#283 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 48.3#278 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 48.1#305 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 37.1#25 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 75.8#55 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#118 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
Hofstra
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | St Joseph's LI | W 97–51 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Alabama16 | L 70–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Monmouth193 | W 75–69 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Towson179 | W 68–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | William & Mary201 | W 92–61 |
