Model line
Vermont −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Vermont 56%
Projected tempo
67.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
56%Win probability44%
The model makes Vermont a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs Merrimack defense
| Vermont O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Merrimack offense vs Vermont defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
