Model line
Marist −13.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marist 92%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Marist home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Marist a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rider offense vs Marist defense
| Rider O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Marist offense vs Rider defense
| Marist O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
