Model line
Niagara −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 61%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
Niagara home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Niagara a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marist offense vs Niagara defense
| Marist O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Marist defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
