Model line
Marist −4.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marist 69%
Projected tempo
68.2
possessions
Site
Marist home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Marist a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Merrimack offense vs Marist defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Marist offense vs Merrimack defense
| Marist O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
