Model line
Rider −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rider 70%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Rider home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Rider a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Manhattan offense vs Rider defense
| Manhattan O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#196 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 47.9#315 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 15.6#112 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 28.6#245 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 34.0#209 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 10.7#284 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 49.6#252 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 47.8#314 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 32.0#279 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 79.6#3 | FT% | — |
| 37.1#229 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Rider offense vs Manhattan defense
| Rider O | Stat | Manhattan D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #19668.1 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #29653.9 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #17416.7 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #35837.0 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #1025.7 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #3465.9 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #35161.5 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #24753.3 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #33236.6 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #23338.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Manhattan
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Fairfield231 | L 60–71 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Iona222 | L 65–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Saint Peter's298 | L 65–75 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Marist257 | L 70–84 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Canisius339 | W 69–65 |
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
