Model line
Manhattan −6.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Manhattan 74%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Manhattan home
27%Win probability74%
The model makes Manhattan a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Niagara offense vs Manhattan defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Manhattan D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #19668.1 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #29653.9 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #17416.7 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #35837.0 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #1025.7 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #3465.9 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #35161.5 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #24753.3 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #33236.6 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #23338.0 |
Manhattan offense vs Niagara defense
| Manhattan O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#196 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 47.9#315 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 15.6#112 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 28.6#245 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 34.0#209 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 10.7#284 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 49.6#252 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 47.8#314 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 32.0#279 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 79.6#3 | FT% | — |
| 37.1#229 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
Manhattan
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Fairfield231 | L 60–71 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Iona222 | L 65–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Saint Peter's298 | L 65–75 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Marist257 | L 70–84 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Canisius339 | W 69–65 |
