Model line
Merrimack −13.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Merrimack 92%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Merrimack home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Merrimack a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Manhattan offense vs Merrimack defense
| Manhattan O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#196 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 47.9#315 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 15.6#112 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 28.6#245 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 34.0#209 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 10.7#284 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 49.6#252 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 47.8#314 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 32.0#279 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 79.6#3 | FT% | — |
| 37.1#229 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Merrimack offense vs Manhattan defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Manhattan D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #19668.1 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #29653.9 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #17416.7 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #35837.0 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #1025.7 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #3465.9 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #35161.5 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #24753.3 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #33236.6 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #23338.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Manhattan
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Fairfield231 | L 60–71 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Iona222 | L 65–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Saint Peter's298 | L 65–75 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Marist257 | L 70–84 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Canisius339 | W 69–65 |
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
