Model line
Marist −11.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marist 89%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Marist home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Marist a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Manhattan offense vs Marist defense
| Manhattan O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#196 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 47.9#315 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 15.6#112 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 28.6#245 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 34.0#209 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 10.7#284 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 49.6#252 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 47.8#314 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 32.0#279 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 79.6#3 | FT% | — |
| 37.1#229 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Marist offense vs Manhattan defense
| Marist O | Stat | Manhattan D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #19668.1 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #29653.9 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #17416.7 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #35837.0 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #1025.7 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #3465.9 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #35161.5 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #24753.3 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #33236.6 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #23338.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Manhattan
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Fairfield231 | L 60–71 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Iona222 | L 65–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Saint Peter's298 | L 65–75 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Marist257 | L 70–84 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Canisius339 | W 69–65 |
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
