Model line
Wagner −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wagner 71%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Wagner home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Wagner a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Manhattan offense vs Wagner defense
| Manhattan O | Stat | Wagner D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#196 | Tempo | #32465.3 |
| 47.9#315 | eFG% | #12450.4 |
| 15.6#112 | TOV% | #30014.9 |
| 28.6#245 | ORB% | #14229.6 |
| 34.0#209 | FT rate | #31040.8 |
| 10.7#284 | Block% | #3296.5 |
| 49.6#252 | Assist% | #22954.1 |
| 47.8#314 | 2P% | #9749.9 |
| 32.0#279 | 3P% | #20534.3 |
| 79.6#3 | FT% | — |
| 37.1#229 | 3PA rate | #29835.8 |
Wagner offense vs Manhattan defense
| Wagner O | Stat | Manhattan D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#324 | Tempo | #19668.1 |
| 49.6#262 | eFG% | #29653.9 |
| 18.5#301 | TOV% | #17416.7 |
| 32.8#95 | ORB% | #35837.0 |
| 32.3#254 | FT rate | #1025.7 |
| 10.4#270 | Block% | #3465.9 |
| 48.9#269 | Assist% | #35161.5 |
| 46.6#339 | 2P% | #24753.3 |
| 36.6#38 | 3P% | #33236.6 |
| 72.6#185 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#247 | 3PA rate | #23338.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Manhattan
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Fairfield231 | L 60–71 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Iona222 | L 65–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Saint Peter's298 | L 65–75 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Marist257 | L 70–84 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Canisius339 | W 69–65 |
Wagner
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LIU262 | L 56–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 80–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Haven351 | W 65–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | St. Francis PA | W 65–56 |
