Model line
Niagara −1.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 55%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Niagara home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Niagara a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairfield offense vs Niagara defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Fairfield defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
