Model line
Marist −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marist 71%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Marist home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Marist a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairfield offense vs Marist defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Marist offense vs Fairfield defense
| Marist O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
